中国石化新闻网讯 据钻机地带4月26日报道，知名能源研究机构Enverus Intelligence Research高级助理Chet Sharma向钻井地带网站透露，该公司预计欧佩克+在6月的会议上不会采取任何进一步行动。

(相关资料图)

Sharma表示：“考虑到上个月欧佩克+最近几轮减产，我们认为今年下半年布伦特原油价格将突破100美元/桶的强劲基本面支撑，预计欧佩克+ 6月份不会采取进一步行动。”

Sharma补充说：“尽管我们对2023年全球石油需求增长的预期相对悲观，但我们认为，在满足新增量需求的同时，全球供应增长几乎无法填补产能大国和其他欧佩克+国家留下的空白。”

“我们预计全球原油库存将大幅下降，特别是在今年下半年”，Enverus Intelligence Research代表继续表示。

当被问及他认为下一次欧佩克+会议可能会发生什么时，PVM石油联合公司的石油分析师Stephen Brennock说，他怀疑这次会议将“无动作”。

他表示：“欧佩克最近进一步减产的决定，实际上关闭了在6月会议上采取任何额外行动的大门。”

自愿削减

本月早些时候，欧佩克网站上发布的一份声明强调，4月3日举行的联合部长级监督委员会(JMMC)会议指出，沙特阿拉伯、伊拉克、阿拉伯联合酋长国、科威特、哈萨克斯坦、阿尔及利亚、阿曼和加蓬将自5月起至2023年底自愿调整产量。

声明指出，这将是在第33届欧佩克和非欧佩克部长级会议上决定的产量调整之外，以及产能大国宣布的在2023年底之前每天自愿调整50万桶的产量。

“因此，这将使上述国家的额外自愿产量调整总量达到每天166万桶。”声明称。

“会议指出，这是一项旨在支持石油市场稳定的预防性措施。”

欧佩克网站上发布的另一份声明强调，在2022年10月举行的第33届欧佩克和非欧佩克部长级会议上，欧佩克+决定从2022年11月开始，将其总产量从2022年8月的要求产量水平下调200万桶/天。

欧佩克+会议

根据欧佩克网站去年12月发布的声明，在2022年12月4日举行的上一届欧佩克和非欧佩克部长级会议上，欧佩克+决定于6月4日举行下一届欧佩克和非欧佩克部长级会议。

本月早些时候发布在欧佩克网站上的声明指出，JMMC的下一次会议定于6月4日举行。

寿琳玲 编译自 钻机地带

原文如下：

What Is Now Likely to Happen at The Next OPEC+ Meeting?

Enverus Intelligence Research does not anticipate any further action from OPEC+ at its next meeting in June, Chet Sharma, a Senior Associate at the company, revealed to Rigzone.

“Given the most recent rounds of cuts from the OPEC+ group last month we see strong fundamental support for Brent to drift over $100 per barrel in the back half of the year and don’t anticipate any further action from OPEC+ in June,” Sharma said.

“Despite our relatively bearish expectations for global oil demand growth in 2023 we see little prospect for global supply growth to backfill the void left by the largger producer and the rest of OPEC+ while meeting new incremental demand,” Sharma added.

“We expect global crude inventories to draw down significantly particularly in the second half of the year,” the Enverus Intelligence Research representative went on to state.

When asked what he thought was now likely to happen at the next OPEC+ meeting, Stephen Brennock, an oil analyst at PVM Oil Associates, told Rigzone he suspected the meeting will be a “non-event”.

“The group’s recent decision to trim output further has effectively closed the door on any additional action at the June meeting,” he said.

Voluntary Cuts

The latest Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) meeting on April 3 noted a voluntary production adjustment by Saudi Arabia, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, Oman, and Gabon starting in May until the end of 2023, a statement posted on OPEC’s website earlier this month highlighted.

This will be in addition to the production adjustments decided at the 33rd OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting and in addition to the announced voluntary adjustment by the the largger producer of 500,000 barrels per day until the end of 2023, the statement noted.

“Accordingly, this will bring the total additional voluntary production adjustments by the above-mentioned countries to 1.66 million barrels per day,” the statement said.

“The meeting noted that this is a precautionary measure aimed at supporting the stability of the oil market,” it added.

At the 33rd OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting, which was held in October 2022, OPEC+ decided to adjust its overall production down by two million barrels per day from the August 2022 required production levels, starting in November 2022, a separate statement posted on OPEC’s site highlighted.

OPEC+ Meeting

At its previous OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting, which was held on December 4, 2022, OPEC+ decided to hold the next OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting on June 4, according to a statement posted on OPEC’s site in December last year.

The statement posted on OPEC’s site earlier this month noted that the next meeting of the JMMC is scheduled for June 4.

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